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2026-06-20
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← Andy Burnham wins Makerfield by-election with 55% of vote, intensifying pressure on Keir Starmer's Labour leadership
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Election expert projects huge Labour landslide if Makerfield results were emulated nationally

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'It's not going to happen, but it illustrates the strength of the vote for Andy Burnham,' the Electoral Calculus founder said Election expert Martin Baxter has projected a huge Labour landslide if the party were able to repeat the Makerfield election results nationally. Speaking to GB News, the founder and CEO of Electoral Calculus showed a hypothetical 528 being won by Labour in the model. “This is what we call the trade dangerous extrapolation,” he said with a grin. “It's not going to happen, but it illustrates the strength of the vote in Makerfield for Andy Burnham.” Another striking projection was sourced from the extraordinary Conservative victory in Aberdeen South. Douglas Lumsden swept to victory over the Scottish National Party by a margin of more than 6,000 votes. If such a result were repeated across Scotland, the Tories would take an extraordinary 45 seats and return Scotland to the Conservative heartland it had been in the 1950s. “Not a prediction for anything that's going to happen, but it does show the extent of the result,” Mr Baxter added. WATCH THE FULL CLIP ABOVE Our Standards: The GB News Editorial Charter Keep reading...Show less

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Part of: Andy Burnham wins Makerfield by-election with 55% of vote, intensifying pressure on Keir Starmer's Labour leadership